Newsletter September 2014
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![]() Dear Reader, The September 2014 edition of the ACE Newsletter highlights:
Best regards, The ACE Electoral Knowledge Network
Feature: Electoral System Changes in Egypt Spark Dialogue on Post-Revolution FutureMoeed Sufi, Fida Nasrallah and Eric Hodachok* Egypt is on the cusp of its third and final milestone on the roadmap to a return to elected authorities outlined in July 2013 by then Defense Minister General Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. The first two milestones were the constitutional referendum and the presidential elections, both of which took place in 2014. Parliamentary elections – the third milestone – have yet to be called. On June 5, just a few days prior to the swearing in of the new President-elect, former interim President Adly Mansour ratified Egypt’s new parliamentary elections law, significantly altering the voting system established in 2011. In the former mixed system, two-thirds of representatives were elected through lists on the basis of proportional representation and one-third as individual candidates using the majoritarian system. The new law establishes what can be described as a dual-majoritarian system where 74 percent of representatives will be elected through the majoritarian system, 21 percent elected from closed, winner-take-all party lists, and 5 percent appointed by the president. Additionally, the new law creates quotas – applicable only to the upcoming parliamentary elections – for the closed lists. It mandates that lists running for the two electoral districts having 15 seats each should include at least three Coptic candidates, seven female candidates, two farmers and/or laborers, two youth candidates, one candidate with a disability, and one expatriate. For the two larger districts comprised of 45 seats each, the quotas increase to nine Coptic candidates, 21 female candidates, six farmers and/or laborers, six youth candidates, three candidates with disabilities, and three expatriates. A closed list or individual candidate wins if more than 50 percent of valid votes are cast in that individual or list's favor – hence the description ‘dual majoritarian’. Observers believe the size of the four constituencies allocated for the closed lists may be too large to foster links between the candidate/party and the constituency. And although the law redrawing the electoral districts for the majoritarian ‘individual’ system, with the concomitant number of seats per population size and geography, has not yet been issued, the current system which allocates the lion’s share of seats to individual candidates weakens the development of political parties. It encourages reliance on traditional alliances and wealthy individuals, thereby increasing the possibility of the election of old-guard leaders reluctant to check executive power. The new electoral system has alienated some political parties, at least in their public discourse, for what is perceived to be the backing of a system that – in Egypt – has historically reinforced networks of political patronage and politically connected candidates at the expense of lesser-known candidates and parties. Supporters of the law, however, argue that voters prefer to elect known candidates and are more familiar with the majoritarian system traditionally used in Egypt under former President Hosni Mubarak. In a bid to restore stability, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has continued the crackdown on dissent initiated by the interim government preceding him. After two popular movements that resulted in the ouster of two Presidents only two years apart from each other, a sizeable segment of Egyptian society appears to back the new President’s goal of fostering stability by dulling formal political contestation, and support actions often criticized by the international community as inhibiting democratic discourse. While some are now questioning the delay in the call for elections, others are actively calling for their postponement by up to a year, based on security concerns. There have been lawsuits filed against the electoral law questioning its constitutionality, which has raised hopes in some quarters that the law might actually be amended as a result, though the government has reportedly refuted such possibilities. As it stands, the electoral law, coupled with the formal banning of the Freedom and Justice Party, effectively rule out one important portion of society, the Muslim Brotherhood from parliamentary representation. So the extent to which Egypt’s political divisions over fundamental questions – such as political freedoms, the role of religion in statecraft, and even the legitimacy of the recent elections – will dissipate before or after parliamentary elections remains unclear. Moreover, declining rates of voter participation raise questions on whether the successive transitional administrations have irrevocably alienated huge constituencies of the voting public, including the youth and liberals. Furthermore, although al-Sisi’s long-term outlook on Egypt’s democracy goals appear to enjoy the support of his backers, with the current polarization of Egyptian society, an arguably exclusionist electoral system risks prolonging Egypt’s political instability. Though oppositional voices appear to be at a disadvantage in the present period, there can be hope for a more even playing ground in the long-term as Egypt’s deep divisions continue to play out in what is hoped to be a shifting, expanding, and ultimately more inclusive political arena. * This feature was originally published by the International Foundation for Electoral Systems (IFES) on August 20, 2014. It has been modified for this newsletter.
Practitioners' Network Updates
Consolidated replies are published summaries of the discussions on the Practitioners' Network. Among the consolidated replies published during the past quarter were the following:
Ongoing Discussions Inside the PNPractitioners' Network (PN) members continued to critically engage on aspects of the electoral process, from measuring the quality of elections to legal advice for EMBs. ACE posed a question requesting PN members to suggest various methodologies for assessing electoral quality. Measuring the quality of elections The ACE Electoral Knowledge Network is interested in drafting a comprehensive review of instruments (qualitative and quantitative) used to measure election quality.
Additionally, an ACE PN member asked other members to weigh in on the advantages and disadvantages of EMBs hiring their own legal advisers versus using advisers supplied by the government. EMBs: Should they hire their own legal advisers, or use government supplied legal counsel? What are the advantages for an independent EMB to hire and use their own legal advisers (lawyers) as opposed to using government supplied legal counsel? Is it necessarily a conflict of interest to have legal counsel provided by government or are there some advantages to using government lawyers, other than cost?
Another PN member asked how municipal EMBs can increase accessibility for voters with disabilities, requesting best practices and lessons learned from other members. Municipal EMBs increasing accessibility for voters with disabilities This question is posted by ACE on behalf of Ian Smith. As part of my city's accessibility policy and legislative requirements, our municipal electoral management body is committed to finding ways of increasing accessibility for voters with disabilities. One approach being considered is offering a free taxi service for voters with disabilities to polling locations that are specially equipped with fully accessible Voter Assist Terminals. Does anyone know of any other large municipalities which have provided such a service? Any lessons learned or recommendations? Thanks. Last, another member requested PN members to share safeguards in place against violence and intimidation against female candidates. Safeguards against violence and intimidation against women candidates during the campaign period Women candidates across the world face violence and intimidation during the campaigning period. In countries where significant numbers of women compete as candidates in elections, what mechanisms -- policy and legal -- exist to safeguard them from being politically marginalized by acts or threats of violence ? Practitioners' Network members are encouraged to provide country-specific examples. Recent Publications by ACE Partners and Members of the Practitioners' NetworkElections Worth Dying For? A Selection of Case Studies from Africa
Political Parties in Africa through a Gender Lens
Monitoring and Mitigating Election Violence Through Nonpartisan Citizen Election Observation
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